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4440.T$1090.00-1.27%
Fair $1090.00+0.0%

4440.T

WITZ Corporation

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1090.00

-14.00 (-1.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1090.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $228.7M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4440.TLocal privado en este navegador · WITZ Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.3x

↓

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

37.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1090
$999$1720

TradingView lightweight chart

4440.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,090Periodo -69.3%
Fair value: $1,090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+27.5%

FCF CAGR

+46.1%

FCF margin

10.1%

FCF / Net income

1.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.86B · net income $424.2M · FCF $489.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.2%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

37.2%+27.1% pts

Net margin

8.7%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

10.1%+3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.86B$4.86B$3.48B$2.50B$2.35B
Net Income$424.2M$424.2M$275.1M$133.5M$175.8M
EBITDA$673.7M$673.7M$430.1M$225.4M$288.1M
EPS106.49106.4967.6732.4242.11
Gross Margin37.2%37.2%35.2%35.7%37.8%
Operating Margin37.2%37.2%35.2%7.5%10.1%
Net Margin8.7%8.7%7.9%5.3%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.133.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$489.5M$489.5M$228.7M$204.2M$156.9M
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%11.2%5.8%7.7%
Valuation
P/E9.699.6911.8835.4724.67
EV/EBITDA3.253.253.4812.497.91
P/B1.541.541.332.071.91
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth39.7%39.7%39.0%6.7%—
EPS Growth57.4%57.4%108.7%-23.0%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$96.72

Spread vs growth

60.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$117.03

Spread vs growth

55.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$188.48

Spread vs growth

51.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.7%

Total return

+3.7%

Start / end P/E

15.8x → 10.2x

EPS bridge

67.67 → 106.49

Residual

-20.2%

EPS growth+57.4%
Multiple rerating-35.1%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.