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4443.T$1762.00+5.12%
Fair $1762.00+0.0%

4443.T

Sansan, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1762.00

+86.00 (+5.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1762.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.9B · quality 84.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4443.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sansan, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$223.1B

P/E

109.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

126.7x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

86.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↑
52-Week Range$1762
$994$2211

TradingView lightweight chart

4443.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,765Periodo +29.3%
Fair value: $1,762

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+28.4%

FCF CAGR

+46.7%

FCF margin

16.1%

FCF / Net income

16.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.20B · net income $424.0M · FCF $6.95B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

86.6%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

6.5%+3.4% pts

Net margin

1.0%-3.2% pts

FCF margin

16.1%+5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.20B$43.20B$33.88B$25.51B$20.42B
Net Income$424.0M$424.0M$953.0M$-141.0M$857.0M
EBITDA$1.54B$1.54B$1.87B$854.0M$1.71B
EPS3.363.367.47-1.136.77
Gross Margin86.6%86.6%85.1%85.6%87.7%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%3.9%0.8%3.1%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%2.8%-0.6%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.310.260.25
Current Ratio1.451.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.95B$6.95B$4.92B$3.17B$2.20B
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%6.5%-1.1%7.1%
Valuation
P/E109.71109.71220.62—144.17
EV/EBITDA126.71126.71101.47239.8464.96
P/B13.9713.9714.3616.9710.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.5%27.5%32.8%24.9%—
EPS Growth-55.0%-55.0%761.1%-116.7%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

259.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$156.35

Spread vs growth

-314.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

123.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$189.18

Spread vs growth

-178.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

56.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$304.68

Spread vs growth

-112.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.3%

Total return

-10.3%

Start / end P/E

264.3x → 525.3x

EPS bridge

7.47 → 3.36

Residual

-54.4%

EPS growth-55.0%
Multiple rerating+98.8%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-54.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.