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4447.T$443.00-0.67%
Fair $443.00+0.0%

4447.T

PBsystems,Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$443.00

-3.00 (-0.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $443.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $175.9M · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4447.TLocal privado en este navegador · PBsystems,Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

28.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

26.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$443
$421$650

TradingView lightweight chart

4447.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $443.00Periodo -46.7%
Fair value: $443.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.7%

FCF / Net income

2.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.63B · net income $85.6M · FCF $175.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.5%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

4.7%-6.1% pts

Net margin

3.2%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

6.7%+9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.63B$2.63B$3.11B$2.90B$2.50B
Net Income$85.6M$85.6M$255.8M$205.5M$183.7M
EBITDA$136.7M$136.7M$376.2M$305.0M$269.1M
EPS——39.4831.0628.91
Gross Margin26.5%26.5%28.7%25.4%26.7%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%11.7%10.4%10.8%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%8.2%7.1%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.020.050.13
Current Ratio2.562.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$175.9M$175.9M$21.8M$363.5M$-77.8M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%17.8%16.3%20.6%
Valuation
P/E28.1428.1415.5520.5427.33
EV/EBITDA13.1913.198.3910.6016.66
P/B2.242.242.773.355.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.2%-15.2%7.1%15.9%—
EPS Growth——27.1%7.4%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.0%

Total return

-8.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

39.48 → n/d

Residual

-12.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.