StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4448.T$321.00+3.88%
Fair $321.00+0.0%

4448.T

kubell Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$321.00

+12.00 (+3.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $321.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $458.1M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4448.TLocal privado en este navegador · kubell Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.5B

P/E

63.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.6x

↓

ROE

10.8%

↑

Gross Margin

69.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$321
$257$547

TradingView lightweight chart

4448.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $321.00Periodo -77.1%
Fair value: $321.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+27.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

2.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.53B · net income $215.1M · FCF $458.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.3%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

5.1%+20.7% pts

Net margin

2.3%+17.2% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+19.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.53B$9.53B$8.47B$6.49B$4.59B
Net Income$215.1M$215.1M$-1.17B$-620.4M$-687.2M
EBITDA$1.03B$1.03B$-741.1M$-390.3M$-542.1M
EPS——-28.59-15.45-17.33
Gross Margin69.3%69.3%69.0%64.0%69.4%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%1.1%-10.4%-15.7%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%-13.8%-9.6%-15.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.730.570.31
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$458.1M$458.1M$886.8M$-11.0M$-691.6M
Returns
ROE10.8%10.8%-73.3%-25.6%-24.3%
Valuation
P/E63.6963.69———
EV/EBITDA10.6210.62———
P/B6.756.7516.448.798.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.5%12.5%30.6%41.2%—
EPS Growth——-85.0%10.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.5%

Total return

-29.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-28.59 → n/d

Residual

-29.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.