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4491.T$2939.00-0.03%
Fair $2939.00+0.0%

4491.T

Computer Management Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$2939.00

-1.00 (-0.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2939.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $405.3M · quality 69.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4491.TLocal privado en este navegador · Computer Management Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

25.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2939
$2440$3850

TradingView lightweight chart

4491.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,939Periodo +60.6%
Fair value: $2,939

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.8%

FCF CAGR

+8.7%

FCF margin

6.0%

FCF / Net income

1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.90B · net income $397.9M · FCF $474.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.5%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

6.5%-1.1% pts

Net margin

5.0%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

6.0%+0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.90B$7.90B$7.19B$6.93B$6.49B
Net Income$397.9M$397.9M$327.4M$337.7M$353.2M
EBITDA$538.9M$538.9M$451.4M$494.3M$507.6M
EPS193.53193.53159.53164.60172.13
Gross Margin25.5%25.5%24.5%24.2%23.3%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%5.9%6.8%7.6%
Net Margin5.0%5.0%4.6%4.9%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.034.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$474.9M$474.9M$405.3M$333.3M$370.0M
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%10.2%11.8%13.7%
Valuation
P/E15.1915.199.849.029.21
EV/EBITDA5.085.080.680.941.84
P/B1.691.691.011.071.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.8%9.8%3.8%6.8%—
EPS Growth21.3%21.3%-3.1%-4.4%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$260.79

Spread vs growth

10.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$315.55

Spread vs growth

11.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$508.20

Spread vs growth

11.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.8%

Total return

+18.8%

Start / end P/E

15.8x → 15.2x

EPS bridge

159.53 → 193.53

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growth+21.3%
Multiple rerating-3.8%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.