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4498.T$1131.00+0.98%
Fair $1131.00+0.0%

4498.T

Cybertrust Japan Co., Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$1131.00

+11.00 (+0.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1131.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $773.5M · quality 81.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4498.TLocal privado en este navegador · Cybertrust Japan Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.5B

P/E

19.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.1x

↓

ROE

14.7%

↑

Gross Margin

48.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1131
$1070$1598

TradingView lightweight chart

4498.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,131Periodo -42.7%
Fair value: $1,131

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.1%

FCF CAGR

+5.4%

FCF margin

17.6%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.44B · net income $969.7M · FCF $1.31B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.2%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

19.1%+3.9% pts

Net margin

13.0%+3.8% pts

FCF margin

17.6%-1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.44B$7.44B$6.47B$6.17B$5.73B
Net Income$969.7M$969.7M$518.8M$725.2M$530.3M
EBITDA$2.01B$2.01B$1.38B$1.64B$1.31B
EPS112.60112.6030.0742.2030.84
Gross Margin48.2%48.2%47.2%46.8%44.7%
Operating Margin19.1%19.1%17.2%17.1%15.2%
Net Margin13.0%13.0%8.0%11.8%9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.02
Current Ratio2.592.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.31B$1.31B$650.3M$773.5M$1.12B
Returns
ROE14.7%14.7%8.6%12.9%10.9%
Valuation
P/E19.3819.3828.4318.1330.72
EV/EBITDA2.112.117.195.429.76
P/B1.481.482.452.343.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.1%15.1%4.8%7.6%—
EPS Growth274.4%274.4%-28.7%36.8%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$100.36

Spread vs growth

278.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$121.43

Spread vs growth

272.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$195.57

Spread vs growth

268.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.2%

Total return

-11.2%

Start / end P/E

43.0x → 10.0x

EPS bridge

30.07 → 112.60

Residual

-210.3%

EPS growth+274.4%
Multiple rerating-76.6%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-210.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.