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4526.TW$42.15+9.88%
Fair $42.15+0.0%

4526.TW

Tongtai Machine & Tool Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTaiwan

$42.15

+3.85 (+9.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $42.15Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $105.8M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 4526.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Tongtai Machine & Tool Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.6B

P/E

23.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.5x

↑

ROE

9.6%

↑

Gross Margin

15.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.06

↑
52-Week Range$42
$24$46

TradingView lightweight chart

4526.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $42.80Periodo +243.0%
Fair value: $42.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.36B · net income $459.0M · FCF $-1.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.8%-6.3% pts

Operating margin

-10.8%-13.7% pts

Net margin

8.6%+7.5% pts

FCF margin

-21.0%-28.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.36B$5.36B$5.74B$7.62B$8.27B
Net Income$459.0M$459.0M$-906.8M$50.1M$91.0M
EBITDA$933.0M$933.0M$-593.6M$545.5M$648.8M
EPS——-3.560.200.36
Gross Margin15.8%15.8%8.8%20.4%22.1%
Operating Margin-10.8%-10.8%-18.0%-1.8%2.9%
Net Margin8.6%8.6%-15.8%0.7%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.061.061.140.981.14
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.13B$-1.13B$105.8M$581.2M$633.0M
Returns
ROE9.6%9.6%-20.5%1.0%1.8%
Valuation
P/E23.2923.29—93.0038.89
EV/EBITDA15.4915.49—16.1212.56
P/B2.222.221.920.930.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.6%-6.6%-24.7%-7.8%—
EPS Growth——-1880.0%-44.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +58.5%

Total return

+58.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.56 → n/d

Residual

+58.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+58.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.