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4536.TW$162.00-0.93%
Fair $162.00+0.0%

4536.TW

Topkey Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureTaiwan

$162.00

-1.50 (-0.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $162.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4536.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Topkey Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.7B

P/E

10.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

14.4%

↑

Gross Margin

35.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$162
$147$206

TradingView lightweight chart

4536.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $160.50Periodo +60.5%
Fair value: $162.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.7%

FCF CAGR

+33.9%

FCF margin

19.0%

FCF / Net income

1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.20B · net income $1.35B · FCF $1.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.3%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

18.8%-4.4% pts

Net margin

14.7%-5.9% pts

FCF margin

19.0%+12.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.20B$9.20B$9.48B$9.27B$10.97B
Net Income$1.35B$1.35B$1.71B$1.42B$2.26B
EBITDA$2.40B$2.40B$2.91B$2.49B$3.67B
EPS——18.7515.4924.71
Gross Margin35.3%35.3%34.9%32.7%35.4%
Operating Margin18.8%18.8%19.8%18.4%23.2%
Net Margin14.7%14.7%18.1%15.3%20.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.410.340.69
Current Ratio3.403.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.74B$1.74B$1.27B$2.01B$726.4M
Returns
ROE14.4%14.4%18.6%17.6%29.5%
Valuation
P/E10.8310.8311.2511.597.59
EV/EBITDA4.484.485.525.484.19
P/B1.551.552.092.042.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.9%-2.9%2.3%-15.5%—
EPS Growth——21.0%-37.3%—
Dividend Yield5.3%5.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.4%

Total return

-12.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

18.75 → n/d

Residual

-17.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.