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4559.TWO$8.10-2.53%
Fair $8.10+0.0%

4559.TWO

Joy Industrial Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTaipei Exchange

$8.10

-0.21 (-2.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.10Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $57.9M · quality 34.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4559.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Joy Industrial Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$486M

P/E

47.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

19.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.44

↑
52-Week Range$8
$6$16

TradingView lightweight chart

4559.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.100Periodo -79.6%
Fair value: $8.100

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.6%

FCF / Net income

27.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.25B · net income $2.1M · FCF $57.9M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

19.5%-3.9% pts

Operating margin

1.4%-4.8% pts

Net margin

0.2%-5.4% pts

FCF margin

4.6%+6.5% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.25B$1.25B$937.3M$1.47B$1.57B
Net Income$2.1M$2.1M$-112.3M$48.4M$87.8M
EBITDA$116.2M$116.2M$-28.2M$167.6M$184.4M
EPS0.040.04-1.870.811.55
Gross Margin19.5%19.5%9.3%20.1%23.3%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%-12.8%3.9%6.2%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%-12.0%3.3%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.441.441.401.181.27
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$57.9M$57.9M$8.3M$85.5M$-30.3M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%-18.3%6.4%12.2%
Valuation
P/E47.6547.65—14.6911.61
EV/EBITDA9.169.16—7.999.22
P/B0.760.761.010.941.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.7%33.7%-36.4%-6.3%—
EPS Growth102.1%102.1%-330.9%-47.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

161.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

-59.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

85.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

17.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

42.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.40

Spread vs growth

59.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.0%

Total return

-9.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.87 → 0.04

Residual

-9.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.