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4564.T$21.00+0.00%
Fair $21.00+0.0%

4564.T

OncoTherapy Science, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$21.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 5/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-815.3M · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

5/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4564.TLocal privado en este navegador · OncoTherapy Science, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-111.8%

↓

Gross Margin

-1.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$21
$19$35

TradingView lightweight chart

4564.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.00Periodo -95.5%
Fair value: $21.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-108.7%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $750.0M · net income $-815.3M · FCF $-815.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-1.7%-11.6% pts

Operating margin

-106.4%+71.5% pts

Net margin

-108.7%+114.2% pts

FCF margin

-108.7%+110.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$750.0M$750.0M$610.1M$1.13B$1.15B
Net Income$-815.3M$-815.3M$-1.29B$-1.12B$-2.57B
EBITDA$-811.9M$-811.9M$-1.29B$-1.12B$-2.04B
EPS-3.12-3.12-6.05-5.81-13.72
Gross Margin-1.7%-1.7%-29.1%3.7%9.9%
Operating Margin-106.4%-106.4%-183.7%-97.5%-177.9%
Net Margin-108.7%-108.7%-211.1%-98.6%-222.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio13.6613.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-815.3M$-815.3M$-1.23B$-800.3M$-2.53B
Returns
ROE-111.8%-111.8%-364.2%-130.8%-129.9%
Valuation
P/B7.527.5211.439.696.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.9%22.9%-46.2%-1.6%—
EPS Growth48.4%48.4%-4.1%57.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.5%

Total return

-12.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-6.05 → -3.12

Residual

-12.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.