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4572.T$451.00+7.13%
Fair $451.00+0.0%

4572.T

Carna Biosciences, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$451.00

+30.00 (+7.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $451.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.7B · quality 42.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.31, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -7.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4572.TLocal privado en este navegador · Carna Biosciences, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-702.2%

↓

Gross Margin

67.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.31

↑
52-Week Range$451
$200$512

TradingView lightweight chart

4572.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $451.00Periodo -56.6%
Fair value: $451.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-374.5%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $579.1M · net income $-2.17B · FCF $-2.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

67.0%-20.6% pts

Operating margin

-358.3%-266.8% pts

Net margin

-375.0%-277.7% pts

FCF margin

-374.5%-314.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$579.1M$579.1M$636.2M$1.63B$1.39B
Net Income$-2.17B$-2.17B$-2.18B$-1.15B$-1.35B
EBITDA$-2.16B$-2.16B$-2.14B$-1.09B$-1.28B
EPS-113.62-113.62-121.64-68.62-99.10
Gross Margin67.0%67.0%73.2%89.2%87.6%
Operating Margin-358.3%-358.3%-326.3%-68.7%-91.6%
Net Margin-375.0%-375.0%-342.4%-70.9%-97.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.312.310.020.050.08
Current Ratio16.1216.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.17B$-2.17B$-1.39B$-1.69B$-834.4M
Returns
ROE-702.2%-702.2%-88.0%-29.7%-37.1%
Valuation
P/B27.8727.872.172.221.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.0%-9.0%-60.9%17.2%—
EPS Growth6.6%6.6%-77.3%30.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.1%

Total return

+56.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-121.64 → -113.62

Residual

+56.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+56.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.