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4588.T$2513.00+7.07%
Fair $2513.00+0.0%

4588.T

Oncolys BioPharma Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$2513.00

+166.00 (+7.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2513.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.9B · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -51.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4588.TLocal privado en este navegador · Oncolys BioPharma Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$73.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-51.5%

↓

Gross Margin

100.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$2513
$515$3695

TradingView lightweight chart

4588.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,513Periodo -28.8%
Fair value: $2,513

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-69.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6809.6%

FCF / Net income

0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.5M · net income $-2.06B · FCF $-1.94B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

100.0%+65.3% pts

Operating margin

-7090.5%-6967.2% pts

Net margin

-7209.6%-7091.9% pts

FCF margin

-6809.6%-6633.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.5M$28.5M$31.4M$63.0M$976.2M
Net Income$-2.06B$-2.06B$-1.68B$-1.94B$-1.15B
EBITDA$-2.05B$-2.05B$-1.68B$-1.93B$-1.14B
EPS-80.00-80.00-77.17-108.92-66.31
Gross Margin100.0%100.0%100.0%48.5%34.7%
Operating Margin-7090.5%-7090.5%-5357.5%-3061.6%-123.4%
Net Margin-7209.6%-7209.6%-5368.3%-3075.1%-117.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.120.210.18
Current Ratio6.626.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.94B$-1.94B$-2.02B$-1.34B$-1.72B
Returns
ROE-51.5%-51.5%-61.2%-131.5%-53.2%
Valuation
P/B16.1616.164.117.004.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.0%-9.0%-50.2%-93.5%—
EPS Growth-3.7%-3.7%29.1%-64.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +380.5%

Total return

+380.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-77.17 → -80.00

Residual

+380.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+380.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.