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4594.T$54.00+3.85%
Fair $54.00+0.0%

4594.T

BrightPath Biotherapeutics Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$54.00

+2.00 (+3.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $54.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 53.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4594.TLocal privado en este navegador · BrightPath Biotherapeutics Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-124.5%

↓

Gross Margin

97.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$54
$39$114

TradingView lightweight chart

4594.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $54.00Periodo -87.0%
Fair value: $54.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-58.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-110479.2%

FCF / Net income

1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.1M · net income $-1.15B · FCF $-1.25B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

97.2%+18.7% pts

Operating margin

-102464.1%-92884.4% pts

Net margin

-101601.9%-91969.2% pts

FCF margin

-110479.2%-100551.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.1M$1.1M$72000.00$5.3M$15.4M
Net Income$-1.15B$-1.15B$-1.17B$-1.49B$-1.48B
EBITDA$-1.16B$-1.16B$-1.15B$-1.47B$-1.45B
EPS-14.12-14.12-18.21-24.90-28.55
Gross Margin97.2%97.2%75.0%64.1%78.5%
Operating Margin-102464.1%-102464.1%-1604276.4%-27785.2%-9579.7%
Net Margin-101601.9%-101601.9%-1622336.1%-28137.0%-9632.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.11—0.03
Current Ratio7.097.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.25B$-1.25B$-1.16B$-1.21B$-1.53B
Returns
ROE-124.5%-124.5%-119.3%-94.8%-58.6%
Valuation
P/B4.764.764.065.862.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1473.6%1473.6%-98.6%-65.7%—
EPS Growth22.5%22.5%26.9%12.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.0%

Total return

+35.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-18.21 → -14.12

Residual

+35.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+35.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.