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4596.T$58.00-1.69%
Fair $58.00+0.0%

4596.T

Kubota Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$58.00

-1.00 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $58.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -37.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4596.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kubota Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-37.3%

↓

Gross Margin

-22.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$58
$41$350

TradingView lightweight chart

4596.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $58.00Periodo -94.4%
Fair value: $58.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+37.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2782.4%

FCF / Net income

0.88x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.3M · net income $-676.3M · FCF $-593.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-22.5%-52.0% pts

Operating margin

-4194.3%+20497.0% pts

Net margin

-3169.7%+21253.7% pts

FCF margin

-2782.4%+23201.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.3M$21.3M$27.2M$39.9M$8.3M
Net Income$-676.3M$-676.3M$-1.33B$-1.49B$-2.02B
EBITDA$-675.4M$-675.4M$-1.26B$-1.39B$-1.95B
EPS-10.59-10.59-23.65-26.79-40.92
Gross Margin-22.5%-22.5%81.0%70.5%29.5%
Operating Margin-4194.3%-4194.3%-4948.7%-3770.7%-24691.3%
Net Margin-3169.7%-3169.7%-4902.2%-3734.6%-24423.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.050.100.09
Current Ratio9.919.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-593.6M$-593.6M$-1.24B$-1.40B$-2.14B
Returns
ROE-37.3%-37.3%-95.9%-56.3%-51.0%
Valuation
P/B2.042.042.151.641.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.5%-21.5%-31.8%383.2%—
EPS Growth55.2%55.2%11.7%34.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.9%

Total return

+28.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-23.65 → -10.59

Residual

+28.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.