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4642.T$1439.00+0.42%
Fair $1439.00+0.0%

4642.T

Original Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$1439.00

+6.00 (+0.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1439.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $346.8M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4642.TLocal privado en este navegador · Original Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.6B

P/E

15.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

33.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$1439
$1266$2495

TradingView lightweight chart

4642.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,439Periodo +59.9%
Fair value: $1,439

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.5%

FCF CAGR

-11.3%

FCF margin

5.1%

FCF / Net income

0.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.52B · net income $541.3M · FCF $434.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.5%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

10.8%-0.6% pts

Net margin

6.4%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

5.1%-4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.52B$8.52B$7.12B$6.63B$6.49B
Net Income$541.3M$541.3M$650.2M$477.4M$415.6M
EBITDA$1.17B$1.17B$992.2M$914.5M$795.5M
EPS———81.2370.94
Gross Margin33.5%33.5%33.5%33.2%32.6%
Operating Margin10.8%10.8%11.9%11.7%11.4%
Net Margin6.4%6.4%9.1%7.2%6.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.000.010.01
Current Ratio3.053.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$434.8M$434.8M$151.9M$346.8M$623.3M
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%9.2%7.4%6.8%
Valuation
P/E15.7115.71—14.6011.05
EV/EBITDA5.465.462.803.331.18
P/B1.121.120.931.070.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.6%19.6%7.4%2.3%—
EPS Growth———14.5%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.0%

Total return

+15.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+12.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.