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4658.T$1521.00+0.44%
Fair $1521.00+0.0%

4658.T

Nippon Air conditioning Services Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$1521.00

+7.00 (+0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1521.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $751.0M · quality 67.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4658.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Air conditioning Services Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$52.7B

P/E

14.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.8x

↑

ROE

12.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$1521
$1050$1735

TradingView lightweight chart

4658.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,584Periodo +415.1%
Fair value: $1,521

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.9%

FCF CAGR

+3.4%

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $64.44B · net income $3.10B · FCF $1.62B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.1%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

6.5%+1.3% pts

Net margin

4.8%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

2.5%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$64.44B$64.44B$58.23B$52.89B$49.89B
Net Income$3.10B$3.10B$2.73B$1.94B$2.82B
EBITDA$4.86B$4.86B$4.26B$3.36B$4.64B
EPS89.1189.1178.3755.8480.05
Gross Margin20.1%20.1%18.8%17.6%17.7%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%6.2%5.4%5.3%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%4.7%3.7%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.070.050.04
Current Ratio1.811.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.62B$1.62B$751.0M$335.0M$1.47B
Returns
ROE12.0%12.0%11.3%9.0%13.9%
Valuation
P/E14.3514.3511.6812.619.86
EV/EBITDA9.789.786.225.624.62
P/B2.042.041.321.141.37
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.7%10.7%10.1%6.0%—
EPS Growth13.7%13.7%40.3%-30.2%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$134.96

Spread vs growth

-1.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$163.31

Spread vs growth

0.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$263.01

Spread vs growth

2.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +51.9%

Total return

+51.9%

Start / end P/E

13.6x → 17.8x

EPS bridge

78.37 → 89.11

Residual

+4.2%

EPS growth+13.7%
Multiple rerating+30.4%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.