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4671.T$2500.00-0.64%
Fair $2500.00+0.0%

4671.T

FALCO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Diagnostics & ResearchTokyo

$2500.00

-16.00 (-0.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2500.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4671.TLocal privado en este navegador · FALCO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$25.0B

P/E

12.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

30.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$2500
$2232$2775

TradingView lightweight chart

4671.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,500Periodo +93.8%
Fair value: $2,500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.7%

FCF CAGR

-16.4%

FCF margin

2.6%

FCF / Net income

0.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.31B · net income $1.92B · FCF $1.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.8%-3.8% pts

Operating margin

5.4%-5.6% pts

Net margin

4.4%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

2.6%-1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.31B$43.31B$43.01B$46.91B$50.01B
Net Income$1.92B$1.92B$1.67B$2.26B$3.53B
EBITDA$3.72B$3.72B$3.56B$4.75B$6.55B
EPS180.81180.81150.90214.03336.99
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%30.0%31.2%34.6%
Operating Margin5.4%5.4%5.0%6.6%11.0%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%3.9%4.8%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.030.110.17
Current Ratio2.372.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.13B$1.13B$2.19B$708.0M$1.94B
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%6.4%8.5%15.0%
Valuation
P/E12.5012.5014.989.056.19
EV/EBITDA4.994.994.422.242.33
P/B1.051.050.960.770.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.7%0.7%-8.3%-6.2%—
EPS Growth19.8%19.8%-29.5%-36.5%—
Dividend Yield5.1%5.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

7.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$221.83

Spread vs growth

12.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$268.42

Spread vs growth

11.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$432.29

Spread vs growth

10.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.7%

Total return

+13.7%

Start / end P/E

15.3x → 13.8x

EPS bridge

150.90 → 180.81

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth+19.8%
Multiple rerating-9.4%
Dividend+5.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.