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4685.T$2912.00-0.14%
Fair $2912.00+0.0%

4685.T

Ryoyu Systems Co., Ltd.

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$2912.00

-4.00 (-0.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2912.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8B · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4685.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ryoyu Systems Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$37.1B

P/E

9.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

17.7%

↑

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$2912
$2820$4415

TradingView lightweight chart

4685.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,912Periodo +656.4%
Fair value: $2,912

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.2%

FCF CAGR

+6.7%

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $42.76B · net income $3.38B · FCF $2.80B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

11.3%+3.5% pts

Net margin

7.9%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

6.5%-1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$42.76B$42.76B$37.06B$33.14B$30.26B
Net Income$3.38B$3.38B$2.42B$1.83B$1.58B
EBITDA$5.15B$5.15B$3.78B$2.88B$2.65B
EPS265.56265.56189.88144.38124.59
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%21.1%19.8%19.7%
Operating Margin11.3%11.3%9.7%8.1%7.7%
Net Margin7.9%7.9%6.5%5.5%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio2.822.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.80B$2.80B$3.42B$-771.0M$2.30B
Returns
ROE17.7%17.7%14.4%12.6%12.0%
Valuation
P/E9.499.498.577.417.85
EV/EBITDA6.786.784.904.124.15
P/B1.941.941.240.930.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.4%15.4%11.8%9.5%—
EPS Growth39.9%39.9%31.5%15.9%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$258.39

Spread vs growth

40.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$312.65

Spread vs growth

36.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$503.53

Spread vs growth

33.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.2%

Total return

+0.2%

Start / end P/E

15.9x → 11.0x

EPS bridge

189.88 → 265.56

Residual

-12.3%

EPS growth+39.9%
Multiple rerating-30.8%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.