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4687.T$950.00+2.04%
Fair $950.00+0.0%

4687.T

TDC SOFT Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$950.00

+19.00 (+2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $950.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.1B · quality 81.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4687.TLocal privado en este navegador · TDC SOFT Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$44.9B

P/E

11.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

21.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$950
$880$1483

TradingView lightweight chart

4687.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $950.00Periodo +245.5%
Fair value: $950.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.8%

FCF CAGR

+10.8%

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.42B · net income $3.43B · FCF $2.87B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.4%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

10.7%+1.2% pts

Net margin

7.7%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

6.5%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$44.42B$44.42B$39.70B$35.24B$30.93B
Net Income$3.43B$3.43B$3.09B$2.49B$2.07B
EBITDA$5.06B$5.06B$4.41B$3.80B$3.17B
EPS72.8672.8664.9052.1742.91
Gross Margin21.4%21.4%20.4%21.2%20.8%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%9.6%9.8%9.6%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%7.8%7.1%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.020.030.03
Current Ratio3.263.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.87B$2.87B$2.10B$1.94B$2.11B
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%16.7%15.2%13.6%
Valuation
P/E11.9011.9017.6613.8013.26
EV/EBITDA6.336.339.316.005.12
P/B2.142.142.922.091.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.9%11.9%12.6%14.0%—
EPS Growth12.3%12.3%24.4%21.6%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$84.30

Spread vs growth

7.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$102.00

Spread vs growth

5.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$164.27

Spread vs growth

3.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.5%

Total return

-24.5%

Start / end P/E

20.4x → 13.0x

EPS bridge

64.90 → 72.86

Residual

-4.4%

EPS growth+12.3%
Multiple rerating-35.9%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.