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4709.T$1027.00-0.68%
Fair $1027.00+0.0%

4709.T

ID Holdings Corporation

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$1027.00

-7.00 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1027.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.9B · quality 76.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4709.TLocal privado en este navegador · ID Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35.1B

P/E

12.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

19.1%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$1027
$881$1275

TradingView lightweight chart

4709.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,027Periodo +188.8%
Fair value: $1,027

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+25.0%

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $39.37B · net income $2.91B · FCF $2.94B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

25.7%+3.8% pts

Operating margin

10.5%+2.7% pts

Net margin

7.4%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

7.5%+2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$39.37B$39.37B$36.27B$32.68B$31.10B
Net Income$2.91B$2.91B$2.39B$1.78B$1.40B
EBITDA$4.63B$4.63B$4.47B$3.57B$2.96B
EPS——142.54106.4284.54
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%23.9%21.9%21.9%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%10.4%8.5%7.8%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%6.6%5.4%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.140.210.20
Current Ratio2.042.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.94B$2.94B$3.37B$1.21B$1.51B
Returns
ROE19.1%19.1%17.6%14.9%13.5%
Valuation
P/E11.9511.955.856.685.78
EV/EBITDA6.346.342.302.381.75
P/B2.302.301.030.990.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.5%8.5%11.0%5.1%—
EPS Growth——33.9%25.9%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.0%

Total return

+3.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

142.54 → n/d

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.