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4728.T$638.00+0.94%
Fair $638.00+0.0%

4728.T

Tose Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$638.00

+6.00 (+0.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $638.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $257.5M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4728.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tose Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

12.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

27.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$638
$612$713

TradingView lightweight chart

4728.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $643.00Periodo -75.3%
Fair value: $638.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.4%

FCF CAGR

-24.6%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.64B · net income $250.2M · FCF $257.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.0%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

10.4%+2.1% pts

Net margin

3.8%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

3.9%-6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.64B$6.64B$4.62B$5.78B$5.66B
Net Income$250.2M$250.2M$-260.9M$499.1M$310.0M
EBITDA$476.5M$476.5M$-433.9M$807.8M$592.2M
EPS33.0133.01-34.4265.8540.90
Gross Margin27.0%27.0%11.2%26.9%24.8%
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%-11.3%8.4%8.3%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%-5.7%8.6%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.294.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$257.5M$257.5M$-1.35B$1.07B$601.5M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%-4.3%7.6%5.0%
Valuation
P/E12.1512.15—11.1919.12
EV/EBITDA6.736.73—3.306.48
P/B0.790.790.800.860.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth43.8%43.8%-20.2%2.1%—
EPS Growth195.9%195.9%-152.3%61.0%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$56.61

Spread vs growth

176.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$68.50

Spread vs growth

180.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$110.32

Spread vs growth

183.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.9%

Total return

+6.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-34.42 → 33.01

Residual

+3.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.