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v0.1
4772.T$77.00-7.23%
Fair $77.00+0.0%

4772.T

SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / EntertainmentTokyo

$77.00

-6.00 (-7.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $77.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-594.5M · quality 29.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4772.TLocal privado en este navegador · SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.9B

P/E

25.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.4x

↑

ROE

5.0%

↑

Gross Margin

19.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$77
$76$131

TradingView lightweight chart

4772.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $77.00Periodo -99.3%
Fair value: $77.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

13.9%

FCF / Net income

3.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.20B · net income $375.8M · FCF $1.41B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.8%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

1.7%+7.1% pts

Net margin

3.7%+8.0% pts

FCF margin

13.9%+17.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.20B$10.20B$9.72B$8.91B$7.08B
Net Income$375.8M$375.8M$787.7M$261.9M$-303.3M
EBITDA$460.2M$460.2M$999.6M$223.3M$-220.7M
EPS3.243.246.802.26-2.62
Gross Margin19.8%19.8%21.2%21.1%19.8%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%3.7%2.0%-5.4%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%8.1%2.9%-4.3%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.41B$1.41B$-594.5M$-1.05B$-218.2M
Returns
ROE5.0%5.0%10.7%3.8%-4.8%
Valuation
P/E25.6725.6716.7684.07—
EV/EBITDA11.3611.3610.7687.80—
P/B1.201.201.793.232.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.9%4.9%9.0%25.9%—
EPS Growth-52.4%-52.4%200.9%186.3%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.83

Spread vs growth

-80.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.27

Spread vs growth

-73.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.31

Spread vs growth

-67.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.5%

Total return

-25.5%

Start / end P/E

15.4x → 23.8x

EPS bridge

6.80 → 3.24

Residual

-28.2%

EPS growth-52.4%
Multiple rerating+53.9%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.