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478A.T$707.00-2.46%
Fair $707.00+0.0%

478A.T

478A.T

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$707.00

-18.00 (-2.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $707.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-44.3M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 478A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 478A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

22.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.5x

↑

ROE

14.7%

↑

Gross Margin

65.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$707
$660$1389

TradingView lightweight chart

478A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $714.00Periodo -42.8%
Fair value: $707.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+101.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.9%

FCF / Net income

0.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.26B · net income $304.5M · FCF $187.5M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.0%+9.6% pts

Operating margin

31.6%+67.9% pts

Net margin

24.2%+67.7% pts

FCF margin

14.9%+70.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$1.26B$1.26B$602.8M$309.9M
Net Income$304.5M$304.5M$-23.0M$-134.6M
EBITDA$391.1M$391.1M$-63.5M$-129.5M
EPS——-2.77-16.17
Gross Margin65.0%65.0%51.1%55.4%
Operating Margin31.6%31.6%-11.5%-36.3%
Net Margin24.2%24.2%-3.8%-43.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.18—
Current Ratio14.2914.29——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$187.5M$187.5M$-44.3M$-170.9M
Returns
ROE14.7%14.7%-7.3%-40.0%
Valuation
P/E22.3522.35——
EV/EBITDA13.4513.45——
P/B3.433.43——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth108.4%108.4%94.5%—
EPS Growth——82.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -42.8%

Total return

-42.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.77 → n/d

Residual

-42.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-42.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.