StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4800.T$1328.00-0.30%
Fair $1328.00+0.0%

4800.T

Oricon Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$1328.00

-4.00 (-0.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1328.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 82.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4800.TLocal privado en este navegador · Oricon Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.0B

P/E

27.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↑

ROE

17.5%

↑

Gross Margin

68.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1328
$767$1345

TradingView lightweight chart

4800.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,328Periodo +118.9%
Fair value: $1,328

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

-0.1%

FCF margin

22.0%

FCF / Net income

1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.92B · net income $992.1M · FCF $1.08B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.2%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

28.5%-5.2% pts

Net margin

20.2%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

22.0%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.92B$4.92B$4.80B$4.88B$4.50B
Net Income$992.1M$992.1M$1.06B$1.11B$1.01B
EBITDA$1.68B$1.68B$1.69B$1.80B$1.66B
EPS76.4276.4279.9982.4874.20
Gross Margin68.2%68.2%68.6%71.3%69.3%
Operating Margin28.5%28.5%32.4%36.2%33.8%
Net Margin20.2%20.2%22.0%22.7%22.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.020.020.02
Current Ratio4.784.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.08B$1.08B$1.20B$799.8M$1.08B
Returns
ROE17.5%17.5%20.3%23.8%24.6%
Valuation
P/E27.2527.2510.4312.4012.45
EV/EBITDA8.018.014.395.975.66
P/B3.053.052.122.953.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%-1.5%8.3%—
EPS Growth-4.5%-4.5%-3.0%11.2%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$117.84

Spread vs growth

-20.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$142.58

Spread vs growth

-17.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$229.63

Spread vs growth

-16.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +72.1%

Total return

+72.1%

Start / end P/E

9.8x → 17.4x

EPS bridge

79.99 → 76.42

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growth-4.5%
Multiple rerating+77.3%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.