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4813.T$494.00+0.40%
Fair $494.00+0.0%

4813.T

Access Co., Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$494.00

+2.00 (+0.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $494.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 61.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -50.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4813.TLocal privado en este navegador · Access Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-50.1%

↓

Gross Margin

42.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$494
$488$912

TradingView lightweight chart

4813.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $499.00Periodo +3551.2%
Fair value: $494.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-28.8%

FCF / Net income

1.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.22B · net income $-3.40B · FCF $-5.53B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

42.3%+15.3% pts

Operating margin

-14.0%-0.9% pts

Net margin

-17.7%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

-28.8%-14.6% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$19.22B$19.22B$15.93B$15.12B$13.06B
Net Income$-3.40B$-3.40B$-5.38B$-2.23B$-2.68B
EBITDA$-1.72B$-1.72B$-3.69B$-397.2M$1.44B
EPS——-143.14-59.45-69.90
Gross Margin42.3%42.3%44.3%42.5%26.9%
Operating Margin-14.0%-14.0%-14.2%-13.1%-13.1%
Net Margin-17.7%-17.7%-33.8%-14.8%-20.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.10——
Current Ratio1.481.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.53B$-5.53B$-420.9M$-1.18B$-1.84B
Returns
ROE-50.1%-50.1%-53.6%-14.8%-12.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA————17.97
P/B2.732.733.971.991.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.6%20.6%5.4%15.8%—
EPS Growth——-140.8%14.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.6%

Total return

-36.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-143.14 → n/d

Residual

-36.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.