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4825.T$2061.00-0.58%
Fair $2061.00+0.0%

4825.T

Weathernews Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$2061.00

-12.00 (-0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2061.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.0B · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4825.TLocal privado en este navegador · Weathernews Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$91.5B

P/E

25.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.0x

↑

ROE

14.5%

↑

Gross Margin

46.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2061
$1820$2435

TradingView lightweight chart

4825.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,061Periodo +884.9%
Fair value: $2,061

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

+10.3%

FCF margin

17.7%

FCF / Net income

1.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.51B · net income $3.12B · FCF $4.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.3%+4.6% pts

Operating margin

19.2%+4.4% pts

Net margin

13.3%+2.3% pts

FCF margin

17.7%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$23.51B$23.51B$22.24B$21.11B$19.65B
Net Income$3.12B$3.12B$2.44B$2.40B$2.16B
EBITDA$5.12B$5.12B$3.87B$4.12B$3.78B
EPS68.2868.2855.0754.2748.93
Gross Margin46.3%46.3%42.3%42.5%41.6%
Operating Margin19.2%19.2%14.7%15.4%14.8%
Net Margin13.3%13.3%11.0%11.4%11.0%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio9.199.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.17B$4.17B$3.01B$1.96B$3.11B
Returns
ROE14.5%14.5%12.3%13.0%12.8%
Valuation
P/E25.2525.2520.2931.2333.72
EV/EBITDA15.0415.049.0815.1516.24
P/B4.374.372.504.074.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%5.3%7.4%—
EPS Growth24.0%24.0%1.5%10.9%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

38.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$182.88

Spread vs growth

-14.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$221.28

Spread vs growth

-2.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$356.38

Spread vs growth

6.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.5%

Total return

+12.5%

Start / end P/E

33.9x → 30.2x

EPS bridge

55.07 → 68.28

Residual

-2.6%

EPS growth+24.0%
Multiple rerating-11.0%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.