StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4848.T$1512.00+0.07%
Fair $1512.00+0.0%

4848.T

Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Staffing & Employment ServicesTokyo

$1512.00

+1.00 (+0.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1512.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.9B · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 4848.TLocal privado en este navegador · Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$52.6B

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

15.5%

↑

Gross Margin

34.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$1512
$1491$1841

TradingView lightweight chart

4848.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,512Periodo +0.8%
Fair value: $1,512

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

-54.3%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $77.23B · net income $4.78B · FCF $623.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.2%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

10.2%-4.9% pts

Net margin

6.2%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

0.8%-9.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$77.23B$77.23B$68.56B$68.97B$64.64B
Net Income$4.78B$4.78B$5.49B$5.89B$6.62B
EBITDA$9.14B$9.14B$9.59B$9.83B$10.32B
EPS136.18136.18155.03163.93182.14
Gross Margin34.2%34.2%35.8%33.4%33.2%
Operating Margin10.2%10.2%10.4%12.6%15.2%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%8.0%8.5%10.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.030.040.04
Current Ratio1.451.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$623.0M$623.0M$5.08B$4.86B$6.51B
Returns
ROE15.5%15.5%19.0%23.0%27.7%
Valuation
P/E11.1111.119.5711.0715.27
EV/EBITDA4.844.843.755.267.90
P/B1.721.721.822.554.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.6%12.6%-0.6%6.7%—
EPS Growth-12.2%-12.2%-5.4%-10.0%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$134.16

Spread vs growth

-11.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$162.34

Spread vs growth

-15.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$261.45

Spread vs growth

-18.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.9%

Total return

-8.9%

Start / end P/E

11.2x → 11.1x

EPS bridge

155.03 → 136.18

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth-12.2%
Multiple rerating-1.1%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.