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4880.T$322.00-7.47%
Fair $322.00+0.0%

4880.T

CellSource Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$322.00

-26.00 (-7.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $322.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $283.0M · quality 64.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4880.TLocal privado en este navegador · CellSource Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

585.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

56.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$322
$320$750

TradingView lightweight chart

4880.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $322.00Periodo -58.7%
Fair value: $322.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.6%

FCF CAGR

-27.7%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

26.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.71B · net income $10.7M · FCF $283.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.2%-15.5% pts

Operating margin

4.5%-32.3% pts

Net margin

0.3%-23.5% pts

FCF margin

7.6%-9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.71B$3.71B$4.36B$4.51B$4.27B
Net Income$10.7M$10.7M$237.9M$923.1M$1.02B
EBITDA$309.4M$309.4M$438.3M$1.30B$1.63B
EPS——11.9647.9352.98
Gross Margin56.2%56.2%55.5%70.6%71.7%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%3.0%27.1%36.8%
Net Margin0.3%0.3%5.5%20.5%23.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.02—
Current Ratio13.9513.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$283.0M$283.0M$52.0M$487.7M$748.4M
Returns
ROE0.2%0.2%3.9%14.9%26.9%
Valuation
P/E585.45585.4598.1635.2284.94
EV/EBITDA5.585.5843.6121.3451.15
P/B1.061.063.875.2422.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.8%-14.8%-3.4%5.5%—
EPS Growth——-75.0%-9.5%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -48.7%

Total return

-48.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

11.96 → n/d

Residual

-50.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.