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4884.T$377.00-2.04%
Fair $377.00+0.0%

4884.T

Kringle Pharma, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$377.00

-8.00 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $377.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-689.1M · quality 51.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -70.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4884.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kringle Pharma, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-70.0%

↓

Gross Margin

100.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$377
$365$1125

TradingView lightweight chart

4884.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $385.00Periodo -68.0%
Fair value: $377.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-43.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1046.6%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $72.2M · net income $-916.3M · FCF $-755.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

100.0%+22.6% pts

Operating margin

-1259.4%-1150.6% pts

Net margin

-1268.8%-1184.1% pts

FCF margin

-1046.6%-1050.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$72.2M$72.2M$80.0M$69.3M$391.8M
Net Income$-916.3M$-916.3M$-756.5M$-854.2M$-331.8M
EBITDA$-909.5M$-909.5M$-817.9M$-888.8M$-426.2M
EPS-133.92-133.92-118.21-158.46-68.33
Gross Margin100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%77.4%
Operating Margin-1259.4%-1259.4%-1021.9%-1283.4%-108.8%
Net Margin-1268.8%-1268.8%-945.1%-1233.4%-84.7%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.794.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-755.8M$-755.8M$-661.2M$-689.1M$15.8M
Returns
ROE-70.0%-70.0%-35.9%-42.2%-11.9%
Valuation
P/B1.971.972.601.920.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.8%-9.8%15.6%-82.3%—
EPS Growth-13.3%-13.3%25.4%-131.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -55.2%

Total return

-55.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-118.21 → -133.92

Residual

-55.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-55.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.