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4890.T$224.00-10.04%
Fair $224.00+0.0%

4890.T

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated

Healthcare / Medical DevicesTokyo

$224.00

-25.00 (-10.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $224.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-313.4M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4890.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

28.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

↑

ROE

13.0%

↑

Gross Margin

86.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$224
$211$478

TradingView lightweight chart

4890.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $224.00Periodo -73.6%
Fair value: $224.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+28.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.36B · net income $205.8M · FCF $-336.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

86.7%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

17.4%-3.9% pts

Net margin

15.2%-8.8% pts

FCF margin

-24.8%-115.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.36B$1.36B$673.5M$954.7M$640.9M
Net Income$205.8M$205.8M$-641.3M$90.2M$153.3M
EBITDA$310.9M$310.9M$-599.6M$184.2M$241.1M
EPS7.927.92-5.153.526.77
Gross Margin86.7%86.7%3.2%75.3%86.9%
Operating Margin17.4%17.4%-96.4%17.5%21.2%
Net Margin15.2%15.2%-95.2%9.4%23.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.090.070.30
Current Ratio3.153.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-336.5M$-336.5M$-313.4M$-20.3M$582.7M
Returns
ROE13.0%13.0%-46.9%4.6%20.6%
Valuation
P/E28.2828.28—230.97—
EV/EBITDA14.0614.06—102.11—
P/B3.673.676.2710.68—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth101.5%101.5%-29.5%49.0%—
EPS Growth253.8%253.8%-246.3%-48.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.88

Spread vs growth

217.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$24.05

Spread vs growth

228.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$38.73

Spread vs growth

236.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.1%

Total return

-40.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.15 → 7.92

Residual

-40.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-40.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.