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4906.TW$52.90+7.44%
Fair $52.90+0.0%

4906.TW

Gemtek Technology Co., Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentTaiwan

$52.90

+3.70 (+7.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $52.90Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.8B · quality 69.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4906.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Gemtek Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

29.7x

↑

ROE

-0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$53
$23$55

TradingView lightweight chart

4906.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $53.40Periodo +71.6%
Fair value: $52.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.1%

FCF CAGR

+145.8%

FCF margin

11.8%

FCF / Net income

-18.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.49B · net income $-108.3M · FCF $1.95B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%+3.5% pts

Operating margin

0.3%-2.3% pts

Net margin

-0.7%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

11.8%+11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.49B$16.49B$25.63B$26.14B$27.90B
Net Income$-108.3M$-108.3M$647.3M$609.1M$664.7M
EBITDA$640.3M$640.3M$1.72B$1.57B$1.57B
EPS——1.461.371.59
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%11.9%10.6%10.3%
Operating Margin0.3%0.3%2.2%2.0%2.6%
Net Margin-0.7%-0.7%2.5%2.3%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.160.180.20
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.95B$1.95B$1.51B$1.80B$131.6M
Returns
ROE-0.9%-0.9%5.1%4.7%5.1%
Valuation
P/E——22.8824.5617.52
EV/EBITDA29.6829.687.259.308.48
P/B1.981.981.191.190.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-35.7%-35.7%-1.9%-6.3%—
EPS Growth——6.6%-13.8%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +98.7%

Total return

+98.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.46 → n/d

Residual

+97.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+97.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.