StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4920.T$1180.00+1.81%
Fair $1180.00+0.0%

4920.T

Nippon Shikizai, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsTokyo

$1180.00

+21.00 (+1.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1180.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $332.1M · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.56, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4920.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Shikizai, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

7.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↓

Gross Margin

12.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.56

↑
52-Week Range$1180
$1000$1287

TradingView lightweight chart

4920.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,180Periodo -7.5%
Fair value: $1,180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.3%

FCF / Net income

-2.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.63B · net income $216.3M · FCF $-575.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.4%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

2.8%+5.9% pts

Net margin

1.2%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

-3.3%-9.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.63B$17.63B$15.05B$11.76B$8.70B
Net Income$216.3M$216.3M$398.1M$246.3M$-122.0M
EBITDA$1.44B$1.44B$1.29B$1.11B$783.4M
EPS——189.96117.52-58.23
Gross Margin12.4%12.4%13.4%11.8%9.2%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%2.9%1.4%-3.1%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%2.6%2.1%-1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.562.562.703.333.46
Current Ratio0.940.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-575.2M$-575.2M$567.5M$332.1M$533.3M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%11.3%8.2%-4.1%
Valuation
P/E7.157.158.3011.38—
EV/EBITDA7.817.818.8710.3713.53
P/B0.650.650.940.930.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.2%17.2%28.0%35.1%—
EPS Growth——61.6%301.8%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.6%

Total return

+19.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

189.96 → n/d

Residual

+17.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+17.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.