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4930.TW$17.65-1.40%
Fair $17.65+0.0%

4930.TW

Star Comgistic Capital Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesTaiwan

$17.65

-0.25 (-1.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.65Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $826.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4930.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Star Comgistic Capital Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

29.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.0x

↓

ROE

1.5%

↓

Gross Margin

14.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$18
$16$24

TradingView lightweight chart

4930.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.60Periodo -82.0%
Fair value: $17.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.9%

FCF / Net income

-2.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.97B · net income $47.7M · FCF $-112.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.5%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

0.4%-5.9% pts

Net margin

0.8%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

-1.9%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.97B$5.97B$7.94B$6.90B$7.40B
Net Income$47.7M$47.7M$213.4M$288.8M$264.5M
EBITDA$431.2M$431.2M$848.9M$1.13B$1.03B
EPS——2.663.603.19
Gross Margin14.5%14.5%15.9%18.6%17.5%
Operating Margin0.4%0.4%4.3%6.4%6.3%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%2.7%4.2%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.610.540.78
Current Ratio3.883.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-112.8M$-112.8M$2.34B$826.4M$-66.7M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%6.4%9.0%8.4%
Valuation
P/E29.3329.3311.549.578.64
EV/EBITDA2.002.002.341.501.62
P/B0.440.440.730.860.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-24.9%-24.9%15.0%-6.7%—
EPS Growth——-26.1%12.9%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -22.4%

Total return

-22.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.66 → n/d

Residual

-25.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.