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4932.T$640.00-0.16%
Fair $640.00+0.0%

4932.T

Almado, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsTokyo

$640.00

-1.00 (-0.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $640.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $704.6M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4932.TLocal privado en este navegador · Almado, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

11.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.6x

↓

ROE

34.7%

↑

Gross Margin

69.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.12

↑
52-Week Range$640
$621$1200

TradingView lightweight chart

4932.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $640.00Periodo -35.7%
Fair value: $640.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.48B · net income $650.4M · FCF $-260.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.9%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

11.2%-4.4% pts

Net margin

7.7%-3.2% pts

FCF margin

-3.1%-7.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.48B$8.48B$7.54B$6.53B$5.37B
Net Income$650.4M$650.4M$695.5M$585.8M$582.2M
EBITDA$982.6M$982.6M$983.2M$855.7M$853.6M
EPS70.4370.4372.8960.2257.55
Gross Margin69.9%69.9%67.3%66.6%61.9%
Operating Margin11.2%11.2%12.7%12.7%15.6%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%9.2%9.0%10.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.121.120.530.240.03
Current Ratio1.601.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-260.0M$-260.0M$834.6M$704.6M$250.5M
Returns
ROE34.7%34.7%36.9%25.1%21.7%
Valuation
P/E11.4111.4120.2218.9315.71
EV/EBITDA6.566.5613.7811.989.42
P/B3.153.157.464.753.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.5%12.5%15.5%21.7%—
EPS Growth-3.4%-3.4%21.0%4.6%—
Dividend Yield6.6%6.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$56.79

Spread vs growth

3.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$68.72

Spread vs growth

-2.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$110.67

Spread vs growth

-8.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.7%

Total return

-32.7%

Start / end P/E

14.4x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

72.89 → 70.43

Residual

+1.3%

EPS growth-3.4%
Multiple rerating-37.1%
Dividend+6.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.