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4949.TW$103.50+9.41%
Fair $103.50+0.0%

4949.TW

Win Win Precision Technology Co., Ltd.

Technology / SolarTaiwan

$103.50

+8.90 (+9.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $103.50Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $99.7M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 4949.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Win Win Precision Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.0B

P/E

54.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

27.7x

↑

ROE

7.7%

↑

Gross Margin

36.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$104
$34$113

TradingView lightweight chart

4949.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $103.50Periodo +136.9%
Fair value: $103.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-24.6%

FCF CAGR

-36.6%

FCF margin

4.2%

FCF / Net income

0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.40B · net income $128.3M · FCF $99.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.2%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

8.5%-2.2% pts

Net margin

5.4%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

4.2%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.40B$2.40B$2.41B$4.50B$5.60B
Net Income$128.3M$128.3M$-90.3M$194.3M$512.6M
EBITDA$224.6M$224.6M$-37.5M$345.2M$674.7M
EPS——-1.403.129.11
Gross Margin36.2%36.2%25.4%22.7%28.2%
Operating Margin8.5%8.5%-3.8%5.7%10.7%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%-3.7%4.3%9.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.050.140.06
Current Ratio2.912.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$99.7M$99.7M$361.3M$-41.1M$391.0M
Returns
ROE7.7%7.7%-5.8%12.1%33.3%
Valuation
P/E54.7654.76—12.800.56
EV/EBITDA27.6627.66—5.99-0.53
P/B4.204.200.941.550.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.5%-0.5%-46.5%-19.6%—
EPS Growth——-144.9%-65.8%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +105.5%

Total return

+105.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.40 → n/d

Residual

+104.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+104.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.