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v0.1
4978.T$123.00-3.91%
Fair $123.00+0.0%

4978.T

ReproCELL Incorporated

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$123.00

-5.00 (-3.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $123.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-203.9M · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4978.TLocal privado en este navegador · ReproCELL Incorporated
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.7B

P/E

110.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

1.1%

↑

Gross Margin

55.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$123
$123$242

TradingView lightweight chart

4978.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $123.00Periodo -95.9%
Fair value: $123.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.98B · net income $103.2M · FCF $-89.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.4%+19.4% pts

Operating margin

-4.4%+24.6% pts

Net margin

3.5%+29.2% pts

FCF margin

-3.0%+10.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.98B$2.98B$2.43B$2.95B$2.23B
Net Income$103.2M$103.2M$-31.4M$-305.3M$-575.1M
EBITDA$-79.7M$-79.7M$-372.2M$-254.6M$-513.8M
EPS1.111.11-0.37-3.62—
Gross Margin55.4%55.4%46.2%38.6%36.0%
Operating Margin-4.4%-4.4%-16.9%-12.1%-29.0%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%-1.3%-10.3%-25.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.01
Current Ratio11.8811.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-89.9M$-89.9M$-203.9M$-301.6M$-294.3M
Returns
ROE1.1%1.1%-0.4%-4.0%-7.9%
Valuation
P/E110.81110.81———
P/B1.271.271.522.502.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.7%22.7%-17.8%32.2%—
EPS Growth400.0%400.0%89.8%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

114.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.91

Spread vs growth

285.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

64.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.21

Spread vs growth

335.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

34.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.27

Spread vs growth

365.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.6%

Total return

-27.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.37 → 1.11

Residual

-27.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.