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4999.TW$20.40+2.00%
Fair $20.40+0.0%

4999.TW

Sinher Technology Inc.

Industrials / Tools & AccessoriesTaiwan

$20.40

+0.40 (+2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.40Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-113.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4999.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Sinher Technology Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

108.4x

↑

ROE

-3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

13.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$20
$19$30

TradingView lightweight chart

4999.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.40Periodo -51.2%
Fair value: $20.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.5%

FCF / Net income

1.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.95B · net income $-123.4M · FCF $-165.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.9%-6.0% pts

Operating margin

-3.6%-8.0% pts

Net margin

-6.3%-15.4% pts

FCF margin

-8.5%-43.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.95B$1.95B$1.96B$1.91B$2.26B
Net Income$-123.4M$-123.4M$71.4M$3.8M$205.5M
EBITDA$12.7M$12.7M$230.8M$177.2M$448.7M
EPS——0.970.052.75
Gross Margin13.9%13.9%17.3%16.4%19.9%
Operating Margin-3.6%-3.6%-0.6%-1.2%4.4%
Net Margin-6.3%-6.3%3.6%0.2%9.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.050.04
Current Ratio4.824.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-165.8M$-165.8M$-113.8M$82.6M$784.2M
Returns
ROE-3.9%-3.9%2.1%0.1%5.8%
Valuation
P/E——34.07706.0013.40
EV/EBITDA108.40108.404.775.782.35
P/B0.470.470.710.770.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.2%-0.2%2.5%-15.4%—
EPS Growth——1840.0%-98.2%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.0%

Total return

-16.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.97 → n/d

Residual

-20.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.