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5028.T$354.00-1.94%
Fair $354.00+0.0%

5028.T

SecondXight Analytica, Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$354.00

-7.00 (-1.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $354.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $80.0M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5028.TLocal privado en este navegador · SecondXight Analytica, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

29.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.6x

↑

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

40.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$354
$318$659

TradingView lightweight chart

5028.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $354.00Periodo -72.7%
Fair value: $354.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.8%

FCF CAGR

-16.0%

FCF margin

1.6%

FCF / Net income

0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.44B · net income $121.7M · FCF $22.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.3%-22.8% pts

Operating margin

11.9%-9.0% pts

Net margin

8.5%-5.6% pts

FCF margin

1.6%-3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.44B$1.44B$1.14B$906.0M$738.1M
Net Income$121.7M$121.7M$116.8M$155.9M$104.2M
EBITDA$207.6M$207.6M$206.9M$271.9M$191.3M
EPS——11.9915.2611.59
Gross Margin40.3%40.3%47.1%63.1%63.1%
Operating Margin11.9%11.9%14.0%24.7%20.9%
Net Margin8.5%8.5%10.2%17.2%14.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.030.06
Current Ratio3.143.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$22.6M$22.6M$130.7M$80.0M$38.1M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%14.4%18.0%22.0%
Valuation
P/E28.9928.9927.4430.36113.29
EV/EBITDA14.5914.5913.1415.8360.91
P/B3.493.493.945.4624.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.9%25.9%26.0%22.7%—
EPS Growth——-21.4%31.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

11.99 → n/d

Residual

+4.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.