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5078.T$4930.00+1.86%
Fair $4930.00+0.0%

5078.T

CEL Corporation

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$4930.00

+90.00 (+1.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4930.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 2/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 22.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 5078.TLocal privado en este navegador · CEL Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.7B

P/E

14.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

0.3x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

21.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4930
$4370$6950

TradingView lightweight chart

5078.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,930Periodo +186.6%
Fair value: $4,930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.6%

FCF / Net income

-1.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.19B · net income $1.15B · FCF $-1.95B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

21.7%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

8.4%+2.6% pts

Net margin

5.7%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-9.6%+11.1% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$20.19B$20.19B$23.92B$23.10B$21.38B
Net Income$1.15B$1.15B$1.42B$1.11B$853.4M
EBITDA$1.70B$1.70B$2.22B$1.82B$1.41B
EPS338.70338.70417.62322.54247.64
Gross Margin21.7%21.7%19.7%17.2%16.0%
Operating Margin8.4%8.4%8.4%7.1%5.8%
Net Margin5.7%5.7%5.9%4.8%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.010.01
Current Ratio6.856.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.95B$-1.95B$1.40B$4.02B$-4.44B
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%6.9%5.7%4.5%
Valuation
P/E14.5614.5610.3910.7610.18
EV/EBITDA0.330.33-1.73-3.08-3.78
P/B0.790.790.720.610.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.6%-15.6%3.5%8.1%—
EPS Growth-18.9%-18.9%29.5%30.2%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$437.46

Spread vs growth

-27.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$529.32

Spread vs growth

-28.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$852.48

Spread vs growth

-28.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.7%

Total return

+4.7%

Start / end P/E

11.6x → 14.6x

EPS bridge

417.62 → 338.70

Residual

-4.7%

EPS growth-18.9%
Multiple rerating+25.1%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.