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5138.KL$2.09-1.88%
Fair $2.09+0.0%

5138.KL

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsKuala Lumpur

$2.09

-0.04 (-1.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.09Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $142.4M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5138.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.7B

P/E

14.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

5.9%

↓

Gross Margin

38.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

5138.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.090Periodo -31.7%
Fair value: $2.090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.8%

FCF CAGR

+4.5%

FCF margin

27.1%

FCF / Net income

1.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $702.4M · net income $124.9M · FCF $190.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.3%-8.1% pts

Operating margin

23.5%-9.2% pts

Net margin

17.8%-8.0% pts

FCF margin

27.1%+6.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$702.4M$702.4M$752.4M$667.8M$814.6M
Net Income$124.9M$124.9M$204.6M$91.4M$210.3M
EBITDA$252.2M$252.2M$356.0M$209.3M$351.6M
EPS——0.260.110.26
Gross Margin38.3%38.3%40.9%29.4%46.4%
Operating Margin23.5%23.5%36.0%18.5%32.8%
Net Margin17.8%17.8%27.2%13.7%25.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.030.030.04
Current Ratio12.7312.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$190.5M$190.5M$142.4M$91.7M$167.1M
Returns
ROE5.9%5.9%9.7%4.7%10.9%
Valuation
P/E14.9314.937.8215.757.38
EV/EBITDA6.326.324.346.554.13
P/B0.790.790.760.740.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.7%-6.7%12.7%-18.0%—
EPS Growth——123.9%-56.5%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.0%

Total return

+16.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.26 → n/d

Residual

+12.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.