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5162.T$677.00+2.37%
Fair $677.00+0.0%

5162.T

Asahi Rubber Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTokyo

$677.00

+16.00 (+2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $677.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $143.7M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5162.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asahi Rubber Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

19.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

↑

ROE

-4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.39

↓
52-Week Range$677
$569$1075

TradingView lightweight chart

5162.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $690.00Periodo +40.8%
Fair value: $677.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.9%

FCF / Net income

1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.64B · net income $-236.0M · FCF $-448.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%-3.1% pts

Operating margin

0.0%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-3.1%-6.5% pts

FCF margin

-5.9%-9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.64B$7.64B$7.18B$7.21B$7.02B
Net Income$-236.0M$-236.0M$133.8M$203.0M$238.4M
EBITDA$250.9M$250.9M$602.2M$642.8M$768.3M
EPS-51.74-51.7429.3844.7552.56
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%23.4%24.4%24.1%
Operating Margin0.0%0.0%2.2%2.6%4.1%
Net Margin-3.1%-3.1%1.9%2.8%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.390.390.350.390.52
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-448.7M$-448.7M$191.2M$143.7M$252.8M
Returns
ROE-4.8%-4.8%2.7%4.2%5.1%
Valuation
P/E19.3219.3219.0612.0710.65
EV/EBITDA12.1112.113.373.683.31
P/B0.630.630.510.500.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.4%6.4%-0.3%2.6%—
EPS Growth-276.1%-276.1%-34.3%-14.9%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.4%

Total return

+22.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

29.38 → -51.74

Residual

+19.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+19.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.