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5199.KL$2.03-3.33%
Fair $2.03+0.0%

5199.KL

Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PKuala Lumpur

$2.03

-0.07 (-3.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.03Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $210.4M · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5199.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

4.3%

↑

Gross Margin

59.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

5199.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.030Periodo +53.2%
Fair value: $2.030

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

-36.1%

FCF margin

8.4%

FCF / Net income

1.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.33B · net income $117.5M · FCF $195.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.5%-12.2% pts

Operating margin

49.9%-1.1% pts

Net margin

5.0%-33.5% pts

FCF margin

8.4%-35.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.33B$2.33B$2.72B$2.34B$1.70B
Net Income$117.5M$117.5M$467.1M$400.5M$652.9M
EBITDA$1.02B$1.02B$1.32B$1.27B$1.08B
EPS0.150.150.580.500.81
Gross Margin59.5%59.5%65.1%65.1%71.7%
Operating Margin49.9%49.9%54.2%52.6%51.1%
Net Margin5.0%5.0%17.2%17.1%38.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.240.320.25
Current Ratio0.660.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$195.7M$195.7M$235.4M$210.4M$749.9M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%15.1%14.9%29.7%
Valuation
P/E6.156.154.124.352.79
EV/EBITDA2.292.291.561.321.69
P/B0.570.570.620.650.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.1%-14.1%15.8%38.2%—
EPS Growth-73.6%-73.6%17.0%-38.7%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

-79.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

-80.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

-82.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.9%

Total return

+46.9%

Start / end P/E

2.5x → 13.2x

EPS bridge

0.58 → 0.15

Residual

-318.8%

EPS growth-73.6%
Multiple rerating+433.3%
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-318.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.