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5202.KL$0.76-1.95%
Fair $0.76+0.0%

5202.KL

MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad

Consumer Defensive / ConfectionersKuala Lumpur

$0.76

-0.01 (-1.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.76Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 13/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $100.7M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

13/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -36.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5202.KLLocal privado en este navegador · MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$531M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-36.1%

↓

Gross Margin

4.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

5202.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.755Periodo -84.6%
Fair value: $0.755

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.09B · net income $-397.3M · FCF $100.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.3%+6.1% pts

Operating margin

0.6%+6.7% pts

Net margin

-12.8%-5.9% pts

FCF margin

3.3%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.09B$3.09B$3.54B$3.09B$2.57B
Net Income$-397.3M$-397.3M$31.3M$-49.9M$-178.7M
EBITDA$-246.6M$-246.6M$202.5M$102.4M$-63.8M
EPS-0.57-0.570.04-0.07-0.25
Gross Margin4.3%4.3%6.1%2.6%-1.8%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%3.1%-0.7%-6.1%
Net Margin-12.8%-12.8%0.9%-1.6%-7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.640.790.60
Current Ratio0.680.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$100.7M$100.7M$179.6M$-168.0M$-23.8M
Returns
ROE-36.1%-36.1%2.1%-3.4%-11.8%
Valuation
P/E——27.42——
EV/EBITDA——8.2221.18—
P/B0.480.480.570.870.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.7%-12.7%14.7%20.5%—
EPS Growth-1369.9%-1369.9%162.7%72.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.1%

Total return

-37.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.04 → -0.57

Residual

-37.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.