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5238.KL$1.20+2.56%
Fair $1.20+0.0%

5238.KL

AirAsia X Berhad

Industrials / AirlinesKuala Lumpur

$1.20

+0.03 (+2.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.20Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $198.3M · quality 30.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 1unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.26, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5238.KLLocal privado en este navegador · AirAsia X Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

5.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

35.3%

↑

Gross Margin

10.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.26

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

5238.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.200Periodo -88.1%
Fair value: $1.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.35B · net income $179.3M · FCF $198.3M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.3%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

3.7%-5.0% pts

Net margin

5.3%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+8.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.35B$3.35B$3.26B$2.53B
Net Income$179.3M$179.3M$207.1M$331.5M
EBITDA$576.0M$576.0M$550.0M$640.8M
EPS——0.460.74
Gross Margin10.3%10.3%11.7%8.7%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%8.0%8.6%
Net Margin5.3%5.3%6.4%13.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.262.264.3013.02
Current Ratio0.230.23——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$198.3M$198.3M$376.4M$-61.0M
Returns
ROE35.3%35.3%63.0%285.3%
Valuation
P/E5.225.224.322.59
EV/EBITDA2.782.783.883.61
P/B1.061.062.727.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%29.1%—
EPS Growth——-37.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.7%

Total return

-27.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.46 → n/d

Residual

-27.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.