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5243.T$1901.00-5.33%
Fair $1901.00+0.0%

5243.T

note inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1901.00

-107.00 (-5.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1901.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $224.4M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5243.TLocal privado en este navegador · note inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$36.7B

P/E

70.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

104.1x

↑

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

93.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$1901
$1152$3405

TradingView lightweight chart

5243.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,901Periodo +333.0%
Fair value: $1,901

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.5%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.14B · net income $440.6M · FCF $393.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

93.6%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

6.2%+37.8% pts

Net margin

10.6%+43.3% pts

FCF margin

9.5%+39.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.14B$4.14B$3.31B$2.78B$2.32B
Net Income$440.6M$440.6M$98.9M$-414.8M$-756.5M
EBITDA$277.1M$277.1M$86.1M$-398.8M$-733.3M
EPS26.8326.836.44-27.50-53.11
Gross Margin93.6%93.6%93.9%92.4%90.7%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%1.6%-13.7%-31.6%
Net Margin10.6%10.6%3.0%-14.9%-32.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.050.100.09
Current Ratio2.762.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$393.3M$393.3M$224.4M$-358.9M$-683.1M
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%5.7%-26.6%-41.6%
Valuation
P/E70.6470.6475.16——
EV/EBITDA104.14104.1462.20——
P/B10.8410.844.326.10—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.0%25.0%19.3%19.9%—
EPS Growth316.6%316.6%123.4%48.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$168.68

Spread vs growth

232.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$204.11

Spread vs growth

266.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$328.71

Spread vs growth

288.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.9%

Total return

+25.9%

Start / end P/E

234.5x → 70.9x

EPS bridge

6.44 → 26.83

Residual

-220.9%

EPS growth+316.6%
Multiple rerating-69.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-220.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.