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5253.T$1637.00+0.24%
Fair $1637.00+0.0%

5253.T

COVER Corporation

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1637.00

+4.00 (+0.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1637.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.5B · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5253.TLocal privado en este navegador · COVER Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$107.5B

P/E

36.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↓

ROE

32.8%

↑

Gross Margin

50.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1637
$1311$2365

TradingView lightweight chart

5253.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,637Periodo +16.9%
Fair value: $1,637

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+47.0%

FCF CAGR

-2.7%

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.40B · net income $5.56B · FCF $2.81B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.2%+11.6% pts

Operating margin

18.4%+4.9% pts

Net margin

12.8%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

6.5%-15.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.40B$43.40B$30.17B$20.45B$13.66B
Net Income$5.56B$5.56B$4.14B$2.51B$1.24B
EBITDA$8.96B$8.96B$6.01B$3.53B$1.95B
EPS83.0083.0067.6838.3520.87
Gross Margin50.2%50.2%46.4%45.9%38.6%
Operating Margin18.4%18.4%18.4%16.7%13.6%
Net Margin12.8%12.8%13.7%12.3%9.1%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.801.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.81B$2.81B$1.07B$2.50B$3.05B
Returns
ROE32.8%32.8%37.1%35.8%36.0%
Valuation
P/E36.3236.3231.7734.97—
EV/EBITDA10.9510.9520.4122.64—
P/B6.476.4711.7912.52—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth43.9%43.9%47.5%49.7%—
EPS Growth22.6%22.6%76.5%83.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$145.26

Spread vs growth

2.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$175.76

Spread vs growth

6.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$283.06

Spread vs growth

9.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.4%

Total return

-18.4%

Start / end P/E

29.6x → 19.7x

EPS bridge

67.68 → 83.00

Residual

-7.6%

EPS growth+22.6%
Multiple rerating-33.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.