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5367.T$1406.00-2.97%
Fair $1406.00+0.0%

5367.T

Nikkato Corporation

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$1406.00

-43.00 (-2.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1406.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $663.1M · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5367.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nikkato Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.8B

P/E

21.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

20.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1406
$496$1749

TradingView lightweight chart

5367.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,406Periodo +78.0%
Fair value: $1,406

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

-9.8%

FCF margin

7.4%

FCF / Net income

1.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.08B · net income $503.6M · FCF $750.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.1%-3.3% pts

Operating margin

6.3%-3.4% pts

Net margin

5.0%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

7.4%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.08B$10.08B$10.24B$10.73B$9.98B
Net Income$503.6M$503.6M$701.9M$835.4M$671.9M
EBITDA$1.38B$1.38B$1.60B$1.81B$1.70B
EPS42.1642.1658.8169.9956.29
Gross Margin20.1%20.1%22.7%24.1%23.4%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%9.0%10.3%9.7%
Net Margin5.0%5.0%6.9%7.8%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.070.090.12
Current Ratio2.672.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$750.1M$750.1M$386.6M$663.1M$1.02B
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%5.4%6.7%5.7%
Valuation
P/E21.6421.6410.108.799.13
EV/EBITDA10.0510.052.902.752.46
P/B1.281.280.540.590.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%-4.6%7.6%—
EPS Growth-28.3%-28.3%-16.0%24.3%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

43.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$124.76

Spread vs growth

-71.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$150.96

Spread vs growth

-57.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$243.12

Spread vs growth

-47.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +171.0%

Total return

+171.0%

Start / end P/E

8.9x → 33.3x

EPS bridge

58.81 → 42.16

Residual

-78.1%

EPS growth-28.3%
Multiple rerating+275.7%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-78.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.