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5537.T$2314.00-0.57%
Fair $2314.00+0.0%

5537.T

5537.T

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$2314.00

-13.00 (-0.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2314.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 100.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 5537.TLocal privado en este navegador · 5537.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.9B

P/E

20.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.1x

↑

ROE

48.7%

↑

Gross Margin

54.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.10

↑
52-Week Range$2314
$265$3900

TradingView lightweight chart

5537.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,248Periodo +112.3%
Fair value: $2,314

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+82.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.2%

FCF / Net income

1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.19B · net income $981.6M · FCF $1.00B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.7%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

16.0%+2.1% pts

Net margin

12.0%+4.2% pts

FCF margin

12.2%+58.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.19B$8.19B$5.44B$3.00B$1.34B
Net Income$981.6M$981.6M$378.2M$282.6M$103.6M
EBITDA$1.34B$1.34B$579.1M$420.1M$177.7M
EPS——46.6034.8251.78
Gross Margin54.7%54.7%44.6%42.0%45.2%
Operating Margin16.0%16.0%10.2%14.2%13.9%
Net Margin12.0%12.0%7.0%9.4%7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.101.101.292.264.51
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.00B$1.00B$699.4M$453.7M$-622.3M
Returns
ROE48.7%48.7%41.5%53.1%41.5%
Valuation
P/E20.3820.3822.7330.41—
EV/EBITDA13.1213.1214.425.97—
P/B9.399.399.443.98—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth50.6%50.6%81.6%123.7%—
EPS Growth——33.8%-32.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +112.3%

Total return

+112.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

46.60 → n/d

Residual

+112.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+112.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.