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5589.T$2737.00-1.32%
Fair $2737.00+0.0%

5589.T

Auto Server Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsTokyo

$2737.00

-37.00 (-1.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2737.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 66/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 81.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

66/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5589.TLocal privado en este navegador · Auto Server Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.8B

P/E

13.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.0x

↓

ROE

11.5%

↑

Gross Margin

72.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$2737
$2329$2878

TradingView lightweight chart

5589.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,776Periodo +44.9%
Fair value: $2,737

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

+12.7%

FCF margin

32.9%

FCF / Net income

1.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.46B · net income $1.50B · FCF $2.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

72.0%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

36.9%+0.0% pts

Net margin

23.2%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

32.9%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.46B$6.46B$6.29B$5.85B$5.36B
Net Income$1.50B$1.50B$1.56B$1.30B$1.21B
EBITDA$2.81B$2.81B$2.92B$2.50B$2.39B
EPS——206.88181.59188.66
Gross Margin72.0%72.0%73.0%71.4%73.0%
Operating Margin36.9%36.9%39.7%36.1%36.9%
Net Margin23.2%23.2%24.9%22.3%22.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.190.270.37
Current Ratio2.192.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.13B$2.13B$996.2M$1.95B$1.48B
Returns
ROE11.5%11.5%13.0%12.1%13.8%
Valuation
P/E13.8913.898.4610.16—
EV/EBITDA2.972.971.231.67—
P/B1.511.511.101.23—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%7.5%9.0%—
EPS Growth——13.9%-3.7%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.8%

Total return

+13.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

206.88 → n/d

Residual

+11.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.