StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
5616.T$710.00+14.43%
Fair $710.00+0.0%

5616.T

5616.T

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$710.00

+100.00 (+14.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $710.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-241.8M · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5616.TLocal privado en este navegador · 5616.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1225.0x

↑

ROE

-1.2%

↓

Gross Margin

65.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$710
$686$1735

TradingView lightweight chart

5616.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $793.00Periodo -29.3%
Fair value: $710.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.8%

FCF / Net income

11.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.03B · net income $-4.1M · FCF $-49.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.6%-10.0% pts

Operating margin

-0.7%+74.1% pts

Net margin

-0.4%+50.3% pts

FCF margin

-4.8%+45.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.03B$1.03B$1.02B$956.5M$636.0M
Net Income$-4.1M$-4.1M$-163.9M$-182.5M$-322.2M
EBITDA$1.2M$1.2M$-154.5M$-176.9M$-317.6M
EPS——-67.92-103.14-136.92
Gross Margin65.6%65.6%65.3%59.6%75.7%
Operating Margin-0.7%-0.7%-15.3%-24.0%-74.8%
Net Margin-0.4%-0.4%-16.0%-19.1%-50.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.840.780.86
Current Ratio2.252.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-49.4M$-49.4M$-255.7M$-241.8M$-319.9M
Returns
ROE-1.2%-1.2%-47.4%-40.6%-242.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA1224.981224.98———
P/B4.974.977.197.53—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.6%0.6%6.8%50.4%—
EPS Growth——34.1%24.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.3%

Total return

-21.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-67.92 → n/d

Residual

-21.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.